Showing posts with label Raila Odinga. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Raila Odinga. Show all posts

15 June 2009

Connecting dots with Ahmed Zuhair

What, no Monzer al-Kassar?  Hey, the guy is in the Federal Pen and only able to run his international concerns via his lawyer and outside contacts, meaning he is still in business, just setting up shop in jail.  Good deal, huh?

But this time it is not him that is the case in point but recent Gitmo releasee Ahmed Zuhair.  The LA Times goes over his release, but the sole interesting part is this:

The detainees were sent back to Saudi Arabia, their home country, where officials will review their cases before sending them to a rehabilitation program. One of them was identified as Ahmed Zuhair, a relatively high profile detainee who, has been protesting his detention since 2005 through a hunger strike and has been force-fed liquid nutrients.

During a hearing in Guantanamo in October 2004, Zuhair was accused of involvement in the 1995 killing in Bosnia-Herzegovina of William Jefferson, a U.S. official with the United Nations. At the tribunal, U.S. officials said Jefferson’s watch was found on Zuhair.

Zuhair also was convicted in absentia by a Bosnian court in a 1997 car bombing in the town of Mostar. He also allegedly told another detainee he was involved in the bombing of the U.S. destroyer Cole in 2000, according to evidence presented at a Guantanamo proceeding.

Ah, Bosnia, the ill-fated venture of President Clinton.  Now instead of going all Bosniak, I'm going to work out the standard FOAF network deal with Zuhair... what is a FOAF network?

As I've examined voluminously (via the Red Mafia, al Qaeda, Hezbollah, Monzer al-Kassar and others individuals and organizations) the FOAF network is a trust based network.  It is a Friend Of A Friend network, in which someone knows someone who knows someone, until you get everyone in the US within 6 degrees of Kevin Bacon.  In the underworld, here more broadly including Transnational Terrorism along with organized crime, a FOAF network is one based on high degrees of trust between individuals within the network.  What this does is draws a very tight web of interconnections amongst disparate organizations and individuals that have a few individuals and organizations serving as a distributed set of nexus points: there is no one, key nexus point in the web, but a distributed set of highly interconnected actors.

With 6 degrees of Kevin Bacon, any individual is not likely to be at the 6 degrees apart, and very few are at 0 degrees apart, since those are the direct friends, families and co-workers of Mr. Bacon.  In between are most everyone else in the country, but what shows up is that in the web of indirect contacts there are individuals that show up multiple times and become a 'nexus' as they know a lot of people.  Similarly in terrorism and organized crime there are nexus points that are individuals and well integrated groups of individuals who share contacts within the group, thus creating a group-based nexus point.

So Zuhair's affiliation with a local terrorist affiliate of al Qaeda puts him in direct contact with al Qaeda as a whole.  Further in the raid that picked him up there were papers linking the group outwards to other groups and individuals called the Golden Chain Document.  In examining another individual (here and here) the outward links from those documents to multiple individuals and groups comes up, and one of the individuals is part of the al-Bakri holding company, a family owned company.  That company owns Petronas, a Malaysian petroleum firm.

That firm was looking for oil in Kenya, of all places, and needed to do some exploration of the Lamu Peninsula while Raila Odinga was Oil Minister.  Now what happened is to Red Mafia types (the Artur Brothers) show up to chase a local drug kingpin in the peninsula to the Netherlands and kills him there... you know if they just wanted to take over part of the trade they could have just worked a deal... but the Red Mafia doesn't tend to do that at any level.  So Odinga invests heavily in the local National Oil firm plus a few others and Petronas comes in and the Artur Brothers set up a narcotics syndicate in Kenya.

Now during one of the nastier bits of Kenya's recent past, a newspaper was going to publish some very damaging bits on the ODM Party of Raila Odinga, about its connections to al-Bakri.  Strangely enough the Artur Brothers show up leading a police raid on the paper to destroy the information, and then have a lawyer put up for them by the al-Bakri subsidiary.

With me so far?

Ahmed Zuhair to al Qaeda.

al Qaeda to Abdulkader al-Bakri.

al-Bakri to Petronas, a subsidiary in a family held company so thus a zero degree separation internally to the al-Bakri organization which is cited as the one helping al Qaeda.

al-Bakri/Petronas to Raila Odinga.

The last connection is, of course, that Barack Obama's father came from the Luo tribe and Barack Obama, by his own account, was contacting Raila Odinga nightly while on the campaign trail.

 

Zuhair to al Qaeda.

al Qaeda to al-Bakri and, thus, Petronas.

al-Bakri/Petronas to Raila Odinga.

Raila Odinga to President Barack Obama.

Three degrees of separation between Ahmed Zuhair and President Barack Obama.

When you are looking for who has pull, you look at who they know.

No need to follow the money.

The relationships speak for themselves.

29 January 2008

The Balkanization of Kenya

This is the last piece in my series on Kenyan politics.

The first is here.

The second is here.

From World War 4 Report of 04 JAN 2008:

Three people were reported dead, a church and two petrol stations set ablaze, and five cars torched. (Daily Nation, Nairobi, Jan. 3) Reuters reports from the ethnically-mixed, impoverished Nairobi district of Mathare which residents have renamed "Kosovo"—violently contested by Kikuyu gangs such as the Mungiki and a Luo militia calling itself the "Taliban." (Reuters, Jan. 3)

This is, perhaps, the most chilling view to have been taken of Kenya, to-date, the beginning of Balkanization pitting ethnic identity against same, tribe against tribe, group against group. And the people in Mathare district have properly pinned it the first time out. Even though this is not the 'radical Islamic' type of Taliban, there are a lot of Muslims supporting Raila Odinga, as demonstrated by the MoU with the Islamic Community and his winning a district where the Somali Islamic Courts Union had recruited teenagers to fight for them. And the stoking of ethnic hatred using an extremist form as a template is absolutely chilling.

As seen in this 02 JAN 2008 AP article by Katherine Houreld at WTOPnews, the political instigation is clear:

Although Kikuyus control much of the retail sector and are proud of their reputation for entrepreneurship, they insist they don't stop anyone else from making money.

In recent years, Kenya has seen record economic growth, but the mushrooming high rises and luxury cars inspired resentment among the millions left behind. Odinga's campaign slogan was whittled down to a single cry _ "change."

"We voted for change," Odinga supporter James Okidi shouted during an opposition protest. "If Kibaki can't give us our president, the mortuaries are not yet full," said Okidi, one of hundreds of thousands of impoverished, unemployed young men living in Kenya's most desperate areas.

[..]

But the violence is not confined to the Kikuyus and Luos. Anyone who is from a region perceived to have voted for the other candidate is a target.

Thieves and thugs have also compounded the chaos. A feared Kikuyu criminal gang, the Mungiki, has re-emerged in the slums after a police crackdown last year.

A recruiter for the Mungiki gang, which is blamed for a string of beheadings last year, said residents were appealing for help. Fearing arrest, the recruiter refused to give her name.

With police unable to control the violence, the Kikuyus say they will defend themselves.

Yes the lovely 'change' by Raila Odinga, trumpeted by his US close friend, Sen. Barack Obama. As I looked at earlier, oil and drug money have compromised the police both at the National and local level to the point of inability to uphold the law. A pre-cursor to this is having transnational organized crime functionaries coming in to 'help' police eliminate any free speech that might show ties between politicians to terrorism and organized crime. With the police still reeling from those problems, the violence after the last elections is something it cannot handle, and the divisive nature of that contest is now eroding the internal fabric of Kenyan society.

For the origins of the 'Taliban' of Kenya we can see that in this article from the BBC of 08 NOV 2006 when the previous election caused gang violence, although not on the scale of the recent work:

The BBC's Gray Phombeah in Nairobi says the banned Mungiki sect is inspired by the bloody Mau Mau rebellion of the 1950s against the British colonial rule.

Thousands of young and poor Kenyans - mostly drawn from Kenya's largest tribe, the Kikuyu - have flocked to the sect whose doctrines are based on traditional practices.

According to Reuters news agency, police arrested their leader over killings and running extortion rackets among transport operators.

The Taliban were formed in Kenya's western city of Kisumu in the 1990s and are reputed to organise political violence but have no religious affiliation, unlike the Afghan Islamic fundamentalist group from which they took their name, AFP news agency reports.

Well, second hand, at best, but going back to the 1990's starts to put one into the frame of mind that there is a longer-lasting view going on here. Mind you the al Qaeda network infiltrated into Kenya in the 1990's, too, so it is interesting to see a Taliban named group show up even if it has less religious affiliation and more on the pure violence side. There have been multiple flare-ups of gang violence in Kenya, do not be mistaken, but there has not been something on the scale of magnitude of these post-election riots and ethnic violence before.

From Newsweek, 08 JAN 2008:

The poison is manifesting itself through what could be called the gangs of Nairobi, the swarming multitudes of young men who have begun patrolling the slums with machetes, axes—anything they can find to protect themselves from one another and from the swelling tide of resentment that the election and its handling have cast over the city. In its crudest form the gangsterism has taken on tribal overtones. On one side are the Mungiki, the self-proclaimed protectors of the Kikuyu, but also of the disenfranchised, the poor and the outcast. On another are crowds of enraged Luo tribesmen, whose anger over the disputed election results that kept their candidate, Odinga, from taking office, have contributed to the looting, burning and killing across the country. The result, at least in the hives of Nairobi's ghettos, places like Kibera and Mathare, is a tense standoff between groups of armed men and a pervading sense of unease about the ability or willingness of either side to back off.

In one such slum, known as Area 3—a sprawl of tin-roofed shacks, supermarkets and community centers that have been burned to the ground over the last two weeks—a lumbering Luo man wearing a New York baseball cap and carrying a 10-inch machete tucked into his jeans, escorted a NEWSWEEK reporter into a Luo safehouse. "Don't worry," he said, "it's safe here." The man, who called himself Titus, was a security escort for this group of Luo vigilantes, who have taken to calling themselves "Taliban," partially in emulation of the draconian tactics of the Afghan tribesmen who enforced law and order through the barrels of their AK-47s. Looking out onto the street, these Luo Taliban searched the area for the men they now perceive as their sworn enemies: the Kikuyu Mungiki gangs who have taken up positions at intersections and alleyways. Taliban members see themselves as providing security and justice. They first became active the day after the elections. Their men, typically tall and built like heavyweight boxers, light fires and sleep with groups of unaffiliated volunteers outside apartment buildings and shanty towns at night, trying to allay the fears of restless women and children. Last Saturday night Taliban members tried unsuccessfully to dynamite a small bridge that links a Kikuyu area to a smaller Luo area where a now vacant tenement building had been attacked.

[..]

The conflict has pitted tribes, voting blocs and even best friends against one another. The majority Kikuyu and the Kamba tribes are together. Kenya's third- and fourth-largest tribes, the Kalenjin and the Luo, as well as a hodgepodge of many of the country's 40-odd tribes, have also forged an alliance. "Everything is different now. It's all tribes and partisans," said Rogers Wanyonyii, a 35-year-old teller at a currency exchange bureau who was hovering near a group of Luo men clutching makeshift weapons outside a barricaded restaurant in Taliban stronghold Area 4-A. "What I see isn't Kenya; it's like war." Given the tensions between the Taliban and the Mungiki, that war isn't likely to end anytime soon.

This is not the description of a society heading towards societal reconciliation or accommodation, it is one as seen in the Balkans, Pakistan, Philippines, and Thailand, that is coming apart at the seams through 'identity politics' driven by external funds and local predators. From the Daily News of Zambia comes this article of 24 JAN 2008, and to those remembering Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia and Kosovo, it has chilling echoes to it:

NAIROBI: At least four people were killed in Kenya overnight, police said today, as rival tribes and gangs fought in clashes linked to last month's disputed presidential election.

Police shot dead two men in the central Kenyan town of Limuru when members of President Mwai Kibaki's Kikuyu tribe started evicting residents of rival tribes from their homes. In the Nairobi slum of Kariobangi, a man was hacked to death in overnight fighting between rival tribal gangs.

"One tribe is evicting the other from houses, but police are moving to end the problem," a police official said.

He said the fighting was pitting the Mungiki gang against another of Luo tribesmen, which calls itself the Taliban and is loyal to opposition leader Raila Odinga.

Serious ethnic cleansing is the removal of ethnic groups from neighborhoods or entire towns, so as to make them 'ethnically pure'. That, in Kosovo, was the precursor to civil war across the Balkans which would demonstrate that the region's renown for ethnic strife was well put. Even worse are the echoes of Lebanon in the gang warfare which, at its worse, saw various groups that would defend entire square blocks and even make a flag for their little portion of the world they defended. That, too, is starting in Kenya, although it hasn't gotten to the 'flag for every group' yet. This from a 22 JAN 2008 Newsweek article on how to choose a gang name in Kenya:

Of the more than 20 gangs and their tribal and ideological affiliates reportedly active across Kenya, the dizzying list is checkered with a number of strange, and some might say confounding monikers for African gangs: the Kosovo Boys, the Republican Council, the Dallas Muslim Youth. And that’s to say nothing of the most feared and notorious of the Kenyan vigilante forces, the Mungiki, whose name is actually somewhat fitting, if even a bit tame given their affinity for decapitating people. Mungiki means “multitude”, and there really are many of them, with over a million members across Kenya.

As Kenya has descended into a political and tribal melee following its questionably democratic elections, feared gangs of new and old have reassembled and returned to the streets. Some religious, some tribal, some ragtag and just out to burn and loot, the outbreak of violent clashes that’s killed more than 650 people across the country since the Dec. 27th elections may be crippling the Kenyan economy, but it's been good for business amongst gangs who thrive on the absence of stability. Across Kenya, vigilante forces like the Taliban are out settling scores, offering “protection” to their impoverished neighbors and standing armies for wealthy political and tribal backers.

The presence of gangs, even ineptly named ones, is not new here in Kenya. According to William Gituru, a Kenyan academic and social counselor familiar with gangs and sectarian vigilante groups across the country, these groups tend to go for names that reflect the dark character of their activities. “These guys do nasty stuff, they are used by politicians for their dirty jobs, so they want to show their toughness.“

[..]

There really isn’t a fitting word, or a printable name, to describe what’s become of Kenya over the past few weeks. Even today few Kenyans--let alone diplomats--seem to have a clue how to forge a political solution, let alone what will happen next. In the meantime, the African Cup of Nations soccer tournament began in Ghana this week, which many Kenyans seem to be welcoming as a unifying, safe distraction from the problems facing their nation today.

Quite a bit of the division in Kenya does not lie just, or even primarily, in today's violence. This is an outgrowth of a decades long, simmering societal problem dating back to the beginning of the post-colonial era in Kenya and its main factions *then*. At Frontline (PBS) Edwin Okong'o offers a brief recap on that era from 09 JAN 2008:

Odinga and Kibaki are generals in a continuous tribal conflict between the Kikuyu and the Luo that is as old as the country itself. In 1963, when the British handed power to Kenyatta, Odinga's father, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga, became the vice president. But the two had conflicting political ideologies. Odinga was a socialist, and Kenyatta a capitalist. Their strong differences led to Odinga's resignation from the vice-presidency. He also quit the ruling Kenya African National Union and formed his own party, Kenya People's Union, supported mainly by the Luo, who considered him their hero.

In 1969, the row between Luos and Kikuyus deepened. A prominent Luo politician and Cabinet minister named Tom Mboya was assassinated in Nairobi. His death angered the Luo, who saw the killing as a continuation of Kenyatta's efforts to eliminate their leaders and marginalize their minority tribe. Later that year, Odinga and Kenyatta exchanged harsh words at a public function in Kisumu, Odinga's stronghold in western Kenya and one of the cities most affected by the current violence. The incident led to the stoning of Kenyatta's motorcade by a Luo mob already angered by Mboya's death. Seven people were killed when the president's guard opened fire at the mob. Two days later, Kenyatta ordered Odinga arrested and sent him to detention, where he spent two years. Odinga would remain politically inactive until Kenyatta's death in 1978.

With his formidable challengers out of the way, Kenyatta continued to fill top government jobs with Kikuyus and a few other related tribes from the Mt. Kenya area. He is said to have told his tribesmen to steal as much as they could as long as they didn't get caught. This is believed to be the beginning of the rise of the Kikuyu oligarch and the rest of the country's resentment of them.

Unfortunately, opposition politicians continue to use the fact that most members of Kenya's business elite are Kikuyus to rally their own tribesmen against the majority Kikuyu. Politicians like Odinga ignore the fact that millions of Kikuyus live in extreme poverty.

The fact that Luos consider Odinga's family regal makes it almost blasphemy to doubt or criticize him. They tend to believe everything he says. For example, in 2005, a newspaper reported that politicians told residents of a Luo town not to bother reading a new government-sponsored constitution before voting on it because Odinga had read it for them. When such loyalists hear Odinga say, as he did many times during his campaign, that Luos and other tribes are poor because of Kikuyus, they do not question him. No one dares bring up the fact that in the 15 years he has been in Parliament, this self-proclaimed champion of the poor has done very little to end the plight of nearly a million residents of Kibera, Africa's largest slum, located in the heart of his constituency, and scene of some of the worst recent rioting.

Kikuyu politicians also play the same game. Even though, like Odinga, they have done very little to end the miseries of their poor tribesmen, they often use tribe to stay in power. They propagate fear by claiming that everyone is out to persecute Kikuyus and that the only way to avert danger is to vote for a Kikuyu president. Such fear mongering might explain why nearly all people from the Kikuyu areas voted for Kibaki. There are also rumors that Kikuyu politicians have taken traditional oaths similar to those of the Mau Mau during the fight for independence, vowing to do everything possible to make sure the presidency stays within the Kikuyu tribe.

Yes, the Cold War would seep into many places and chill already existing societal differences into opposing factions that would then seek to gain power for their 'side' or that of their backers. Once established the politics of division and 'identity' become paramount, beyond ideology: socialism becomes a mouthed word, as does capitalism, and they are replaced with the identity backing those words. Without the backing of the original ideology, however, there is some question if those splits would have happened or if they would have formed along exclusively tribal lines. That, however, points to an article by Anne that she put in my message on another post.

This from Sunday Standard 11 JUL 2004 article How Kenya’s best kept secret became a hotbed of insurgents By John Kamau:

Dateline: Saturday, December 12, 1964. At around 3 pm, just as Kenya turned into a republic, the newly sworn-in President Jomo Kenyatta’s convoy drove from State House, Nairobi to the flag-decked Thika Road to officially open what he described as "Kenya’s best kept secret" and Jamhuri Day’s "big surprise" – the so-called Lumumba Institute.

He didn’t know it was a communist school of politics designed to topple him.

Forty years later, questions are still asked about how the new Vice President, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga, managed to trick Kenyatta to approve a plot to topple him. It was a move that not only left top schemer Tom Mboya dazed but also confused Kenyatta’s inner circle — composed of Mr Mbiyu Koinange, Mr James Gichuru, and Dr Njoroge Mungai.

And when they realised what had happened they threw senior Chinese and Russian "spies" stationed at the institute out of the country. Others simply disappeared.

"It was simply a scheme to remove Kenyatta via the party but I think Oginga Odinga was too fast and politically impatient," Nairobi politician Wanguhu Nganga, who was the institute’s deputy principal, told the Sunday Standard this week.

So embarrassing is this episode of Kenya’s history that it is hardly talked about. The Lumumba Institute, now known as Pan African Christian College, a bible school off Thika Road, is long forgotten, hiding its Cold War past in the 20-acre land that had been purchased by Odinga for purposes of the plot.

[..]

To the Kenyatta government Lumumba Institute was a dream come true for the ruling party Kanu, which, it was thought, would now have a base to train its members, activists and youth wingers.

The building of the institute was a state secret — at least as Kenyatta and his inner circle knew. But one man, the newly appointed Vice President Odinga, knew another meta-secret about the institute.

Although, Kenyatta was the only other trustee of the institute besides Odinga, the President didn’t know that Lumumba Institute was part of a communist plot to train radicals who would later stage a coup within the ruling party, Kanu, to replace the West-leaning politicians with a new cabal led by Odinga.

And on July 16, 1965, some 16 days after the first batch of 84 students graduated from the institute, they staged a "coup" at the Kanu headquarters, then at Nairobi’s Mfang’ano Street, and ostensibly "removed" the entire Kanu leadership apart from Kenyatta and Odinga.

We can now reveal that behind the scenes, other than Odinga, was a key Chinese undercover agent, Mr Wang Te Ming, who travelled on a diplomatic passport and masqueraded as a journalist. Ming was once a Chinese volunteer soldier during the Korean War and had risen to the rank of a major.

Another plotter was a South African communist, Mr Hosea Jaffe, a Cape Town University-trained engineer who was teaching mathematics at the Duke of Gloucester School, now Nairobi School. He was kicked out of Kenya on the orders of Dr Njoroge Mungai just after the coup at Kanu headquarters.

[..]

The key words here were "socialism", "imperialists", and "their agents". As Kenyatta cut the tape to formally open the institute, Lumumba’s brother stood by and somehow, may be as a result of political naivety, Kenyatta missed the fine print. He also hardly noticed the many under-cover agents who were to work with Odinga on the Lumumba project.

Unknown to many, the 20-acre land on which the institute stood had been bought by Odinga and the buildings erected in a record five months at a cost of 27,000 pounds (current rates Sh3.5 million) with funding from communist countries. Initially there were two old buildings on the farm. One building was occupied by the principal, New Delhi-trained political scientist Mathew Mutiso, the father of Kilome MP John Mutinda Mutiso, who was born at the institute.

The second was occupied by Wanguhu Ng’ang’a, the deputy principal, while the registrar, F. Oluande occupied a new maisonette. There was also the Kenyatta Conference Hall and a kitchen that had been built with funds from East Germany.

[..]

Kenyatta had left Odinga to coordinate the building and running of the institute, a brainchild of the VP’s. Odinga handpicked the socialist-leaning Kaggia as the chairman of the board of management.

"Although we were all leftists, and had leftist ideologies, we were independent of Odinga and were not under the thumb of anybody," says Ng’ang’a, who trained in Czechoslovakia as a journalist.

Other members of the board included another communist, Mr Pio Gama Pinto, Mr Ochieng Aneko, Mr S. Othigo Othieno, Mr Kungu Karumba, Mr Fred Kubai, Mr F Oluande, Mr Paul Ngei, and Mr Joseph Murumbi – a well groomed set of communists and their sympathisers.

Pio Gama Pinto, an avowed communist, had spent much of his time fundraising for the institute and wanted it to succeed.

The curriculum had been selected methodically — general principles of socialism, history of political organisation, African road to socialism, Kiswahili, Accounts and, oh well, the biography of Jomo Kenyatta.

Donations to the institute had started to flow in from Eastern Europe. On March 4, 1965, Odinga received books, blankets and two cinema vans from Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, East Germany and China.

Two weeks later, the first batch of 114 students — mainly district Kanu officials consisting of chairmen, secretaries and treasurers — joined. Odinga had brought in two Russian "lecturers", Mr Alexei Zdravomyslova and Mr Andrei Bogdanov to teach "principles of socialism".

"They were very social, very human," says Ng’ang’a, but couldn’t tell whether they were into any mischief. Other teachers besides Mutiso, and Nganga, included Mr J. Thuo, Mr S. Nzioki, Mr J Wanyonyi, and (Prof) Munoru.

Odinga’s project had started in earnest with Russians and Chinese working behind the scenes to help him ascend power through a party takeover.

Yes, the ideology still exists as State-centric, State-controlled views on politics, economics and freedom... or lack of same. What is interesting is that the beginnings of the Lumumba Institute were not unknown outside of Kenya at the time. In an article titled Lumumba Jumbo, Time magazine reported on it on 25 DEC 1964, and a not-so-merry Christmas was had:

Four years after his death, a lot of people talk as if Patrice Emergy Lumumba were still the Congo. In and out of the U.N., African leftists and their Communist backers seem determined to turn Lumumba into a martyr-saint. Bulgaria and Albania joined last week to praise the "great Congolese patriot" who symbolized the "heart of Africa" but was "brutally assassinated." The Ethiopian and Guinean delegations compared him to Hammarskjöld, while the Mali representative went one better and compared him to Hammarskjöld and John Kennedy.

Throughout the Communist bloc and in much of Africa, Lumumba's name, with its rhythm of jungle drums, is invoked by innumerable agitators. It is also borne by hundreds of streets, dozens of schools. Moscow has its Patrice Lumumba Friendship University for foreign students, Belgrade its Patrice Lumumba student home. In Castro Cuba, romantically inclined young workers find togetherness in Patrice Lumumba social centers. Last week in Kenya, the brand new $120,000 Lumumba Institute, built with Russian and Chinese money, opened its doors to "rehabilitate the minds of Kenyans from a colonial mentality and teach them how to sacrifice themselves for the good of the country and of Africans as a whole."

The article then goes on to take a look at Patrice Lumumba and his ill-fated rise to power and incompetence in governing. But it is disturbing that 'rehabilitate the mind' was a generally known concept of 'indoctrination' during the Cold War era - a phrase used by the Communists to mean just that. By 07 MAY 1965, Time magazine would begin documenting the problems of Kenya in an article entitled A Different Direction:

Teetering between the rival factions in Kenya's one-party government, President Jomo Kenyatta for months let pro-Communist Vice President Oginga Odinga have his way more often than seemed wise. For one thing, Moscow had financed the Lumumba Institute seven miles outside Nairobi, providing two Russian instructors in the Leninist art of political action. Then Odinga negotiated a deal for a shipload of Soviet arms for Kenya, which the Russians seemed only too eager to provide absolutely free of charge. Odinga meanwhile hustled around making anti-Western speeches, and verbally sniping at the more moderate members of Kenyatta's Cabinet.

Last week Jomo decided that enough was enough. In a brisk series of actions, Kenyatta made it clear to Odinga and the Communists that his regime had a different direction in mind. Among them:

> Publication of a manifesto on African socialism, the first sober attempt to limn a realistic concept out of the woolly catch phrase so beloved of African speechmakers. Remarkably restrained and reasoned, it rejects 19th century capitalism and 20th century Communism as a model for emergent African society. Instead, the document points to a mixed economy very like modern Britain or Sweden, strongly emphasizes individual political freedoms. Though Kenyatta insisted that the paper, written by Economics Planning Minister Tom Mboya, was approved by all his Cabinet, it was clearly a bitter blow for Odinga.

> Outright rejection of the Soviet arms. Just before the freighter Fizik Lebedev was due to arrive last week, a vanguard of 17 Russian "technicians" flew in from Moscow. One was reportedly a general, and all seemed to have in mind a lengthy stay. Not so. Jomo called in the Soviet ambassador, told him to send back his tanks, guns and technicians. Later he explained to a press conference: "All the arms are old, secondhand, and would be of no use to the modern army of Kenya."

> Official takeover of the Lumumba Institute, thus frustrating its possible use as a Communist indoctrination center. Parliament resoundingly agreed as Mboya declared that Kenyatta's original plans for the Lumumba Institute had been "completely distorted," and that "we want to remove this impression that it is an ideological institute, because it is not."

Yes one does not have to be pro-US to be anti-Communist, and that fine line walked by Jomo Kenyatta and his thwarting of Oginga Odinga would solidify the lines along post-colonial Kenya's ideologies and, then, tribes, as the ideologies passed but the resentment of being stopped from performing a coup lingered for decades until the present day. As an article hosted at Zibb by The Nation/All Africa Global Media of 26 NOV 2007 would point out, the original post-colonial ideologies have quieted serving as only a backdrop for running a political campaign, but the ethnic divisions that backed those ideologies live on. Raila Odinga utilizes those views to try and stop privatization of government companies, like its cell phone network, and doesn't call the idea of government held companies by the name of socialism but, instead, 'controlled capitalism'. Actually most Nations do have some form of that, even the US, but the idea of expanding government control to more businesses winds up with things like a good year for crops ruining the economy. These all trace back to Oginga Odinga and his Soviet backed ideology holding sway for him and his son, going to a Communist college.

What would work against the Soviets, however, was something unforeseen at the time: the Ethiopian-Kenyan Defense Pact. This was driven not by the USSR or USA, but by the post-colonial period and the view of having a "Greater Somalia". From a Command and Staff College overview of Why the Ogaden War? published in 1986 (Source: Globalsecurity) we get a thumbnail of the conflict that would start then and then shift guises over the ensuing decades and still remain as a problem today:

As an area without obvious physical boundaries, the Horn of Africa is somewhat difficult to define precisely. In present and in past times, this has contributed to long standing conflicts. Politically and internationally the Horn is the area comprised of four states: The Somalia Republic along the east coast of the Indian Ocean; Djibouti, an enclave at the southern end of the Red Sea; Ethiopia in the center; and Sudan which stretches deep into the Sahara desert. (See map 1). Ethnically, the Horn is defined as the territory inhabited by a Somalia-speaking population.3 Geographically, this is perceived as the Ethiopian Ogaden, the Kenyan North Eastern Province (formerly known as North Frontier District - NFD), and part of the Republic of Djibouti. (See map 1).

[..]

On 26 June 1960, the British Somalialand became an independent state. Four days later, the Italian Somalialand achieved its independent, and the two were united by a hastly concluded treaty. The accords established a unitary republic with northern and southern regions. On the flag of the new state there was a five pointed star. The British had organized and trained the leaders of the Somalia SYC to realize the dream of greater Somalia. Consequently, generation of Somalis are being borne with the conception of greater Somalia claiming parts of Ethiopia, Kenya, and Djibouti.

The Republic of Somalia with muit-party [sic] politics had a potential to lure the Western influence. However, her obsession with greater Somalia proved an obstacle considering her neighboring countries were also subjects of Western influence. Failing to lure a consolidated support from the West, especially its former colonial masters. Somalia condemned Great Britain for not handing over to her the Northern Frontier Region of Kenya. In March 1962, she broke off diplomatic relationship with Britain. It must be remembered that British first floated and nurtured the idea of "Greater Somalia". The relationship even got worse when Prime Minister Mohammed Ibrahim Egal made a public statement to the effect that "Reclaiming our land and their people..." was in fact in accordance with Somali proverb of "Stand with one leg ready for war and the other ready for peace."10 It was Somali's leg of war that eventually become a point of discord between Somalia and the West. Early in 1961, after failing to obtain military aid to staff its 20,000 man Army, Somalia turned to the East.

During the period between 1961 and 1967, Somalia continued to support the insurgent movement known as "Shifta" in the region in search of liberating the lost land. However, its meager economy could not sustain the country's badly needed development; therefore, there was political turbulence. After the 1969 elections, there ensued political parties coalition which was marred by fraud and intimidation. Senior government officials submitted their resignation following an uproar in the government. The Prime Minister reshuffled senior police offic- ials in key electoral districts in his efforts to restore stabil- ity within the government and the country. Authoritative sources believe that these interventions in police created a mood of deep bitterness in the officer cadre.11

What this support for insurgents, or what we would call non-State actors or 'terrorists', is start to destabilize the region and lay a path for the Ogaden War, which would be the Somali attempt to unify ethnic Somalis living in Ethiopia and Kenya. To understand this I will draw on yet another CSC paper, this one Post-Independence Low Intensity Conflict In Kenya from 1992 (Source: Globalsecurity):

Somalia is a nation which embraces an homogeneous society with one religion, one common cultural heritage, and one language. The Somali people were founded from two cousins of the prophet Mohamed: Samaale and Sab. The family of Samaale became nomads while the family of Sab became settled farmers. The Somalis have a very strong background of family clanism segmented further into lineages which form their basic dialectical identity. The Somali-speaking people are divided into six clan families comprising 75% of the Somalis coming from the offsprings of Samaale. These are the Darod, Hawiye, Isaaq, and Dir. The offsprings of Sab are the Digil and Rahanweyn which form the other 20% of the Somalis. The remaining 5% are the non-Somali speaking people. The Somali speaking people inhabit three nations within the Horn of Africa: Djibouti, North Eastern Kenya, and South Eastern Ethiopia (Haud/Ogaden). ( Ref: outline of Somali genealogy map 1.)

[..]

Throughout the period between 1963 and 1967 there were serious armed skirmishes which translated into massive loss of life on both sides. The Kenya government suffered serious set backs due to the lack of local support and adequate intelligence network. Another drawback was the encountering of a two-pronged attack by the Somalis in Ogaden, Ethiopia, and those from Somalia who had formed a strong irredentists force to fight for an homogeneous Somali community.

Over the period, the central government of Somalia offered the irredentist moral and material support in both North Eastern Kenya and South Eastern Ethiopia. Further external support was received from some former colonialists and Arab sympathizers.

Following these developments, Kenya government contemplated introducing military forces in the Northern Frontier District to combat the envisioned protracted guerrilla campaign by the Somali irredentist. In June, 1963, military posts were established in the towns of Mandera, Garissa, and Wajir. Outposts were subsequently also organized at Buna, Gurar, Moyale, and Malka-Mari. To date, military detachments and outposts are still in these towns to ensure that peace prevails in the region.

[..]

DEFENCE PACT WITH ETHIOPIA

Having realized the expansionist ideological development of the Somalis in the region, Kenya and Ethiopia signed a Defence Pact in 1969. Both nations shared a common enemy, the Republic of Somalia.

The purpose of the pact was to enhance a joint military effort in the region in the event of Somalia's attempt to invade any of the two nations. To date the pact is still in existence.

And one of the signers of that was Oginga Odinga. With the USSR backing Somalia in the Ogaden War starting in 1977, which throws logistics support a few years before that, this would be something of a minor sticking point when that conflict started to get going. And another part I am glossing over is that those districts in northern Kenya actually voted on secession and were judged to have voted in the affirmative... but the continuation of low level terrorism funded by Somalia and its sympathizers made actually turning such areas over difficult as the Kenyan Army was in them to defend them from... yes... those self-same terrorists. In one of those strange twists of fate, by fighting for something you can't get it and if you just let it alone you would get what you were willing to fight for.

The entire Ogaden war and rule of Siad Barre in Somalia would cost thousands of lives across the region and spread continued turmoil and unrest. Ethiopia would be able to repulse Somalia, and this wrap-up is from the Onwar site:

For all intents and purposes, Ethiopia's victory during the Ogaden War ended Mogadishu's dream of recreating Greater Somalia. Even before the setback in the Ogaden, Siad Barre had relinquished his claim to Djibouti after 95 percent of the voters in that country indicated a preference for independence over incorporation into Somalia. In 1981 Somali-Kenyan relations improved after Siad Barre visited Nairobi and indicated that his government no longer had any claim to Kenyan territory. In December 1984, Somalia and Kenya signed a pact that pledged both governments to cease hostilities along their common frontier. Subsequently, the level of insurgent activity along the border was minimal. However, the activities of Somali shiftas, or bandits and ivory poachers and the periodic influx of Somali refugees into Kenya continued to strain relations between Mogadishu and Nairobi.

Yes the shifta, in one form or another are *still* around, although more under the guise of the Islamic Courts Union, an al Qaeda terrorist affiliate recruiting teenagers to fight in Somalia, particularly in Garissa district, which went for Raila Odinga in the last election. Remember his father had signed the defense pact *with* Ethiopia to defend *against* Somalia, and yet here his son is winning ethnic Somalia votes while that same district is supplying teens to fight in Somalia against Ethiopia for the Islamic Courts Union.

What a mess!

The Soviet Union funds a school in Kenya which turns out a nice cadre of inspired Communists to help take over the KANU party which fails. During that time Oginga Odinga helps sign that defense pact with Ethiopia against Somalia while the USSR turns to Somalia to fund it in its aggressive war of ethnic unification.

Which fails as Kenya doesn't carry through. That defense pact signed by Oginga Odinga who was, in theory, a partner with the USSR, doesn't come to fruition (although still in place!) which must have had multiple parties scratching their heads as to *why* no one was doing what they should be doing. Raila Odinga will still get Communist teachings even as the USSR has to withdraw from its support of Somalia, which then goes into disarray after the death of Siad Barre for the politics to wind up even *close* to where it is today with the twistyness now seen on all fronts. This doesn't even get us to the SECOND takeover attempt, this time by direct coup in Kenya with Raila Odinga involved against the Arap Moi regime. Sunday Vision from Uganda has a lovely piece on 19 JAN 2008 on The coup that went wrong:

Raila sides with coup-plotters

With recourse to politics to gain power failing, Raila Odinga found himself persuaded to work with coup plotters. The coup was spearheaded by the Luo-dominated Kenya Air Force who wanted to end the marginalisation and repression of the Luos. In this third excerpt from Raila Odinga: An Enigma in Kenyan Politics, Babafemi A. Badejo examines how Raila’s aspirations were linked to the coup plotters’

Having started with a ban on the official opposition party, Kenya Peoples Union (KPU), in October 1969, the Kenya Africa National Union (KANU) regime closed all channels for open discussion of public affairs. The free speech and free association stipulated in our constitution was curbed. The mass media was put under censorship. To discuss the government in public could lead to charges of sedition, and detention or a jail sentence. Kenya became a closed society. It was only through rumour-mongering that Kenyans (with the exception of the Executive and a few of his close associates) could pass on information about what was going on in the government.” (James Waore Dianga, Kenya 1982: The Attempted Coup — the consequence of a one-party dictatorship).

A spate of coup d’etats and coup attempts had dominated the political scene in Africa from the 1960s to the 1980s. Kenya failed to escape this means of changing government through the barrel of a gun. However, the 1982 coup attempt went beyond planning. It was executed by a group of discontented junior military men in the Kenyan Air Force. This discontent was based on a perception, rightly or wrongly, that the Moi government did not care about non-commissioned officers.

The air force plotters were largely from the Luo ethnic group, and were equally unhappy with the political developments which had marginalised the Luos in the affairs of the nation. Other civilians in Kenya who were disenchanted with the dictatorship that had enveloped Kenya provided assistance to the coup planners.

The Sunday Standard, a Kenyan newspaper, in its March 14, 2004 edition, like many other newspaper accounts over time, named Raila Odinga “as the central civilian accomplice of the coup plotters”. The following account draws from this and other newspaper publications and probing interviews with many Kenyans who were involved in many aspects of the coup attempt. It is important, however, that in spite of what looks like his obvious facilitation of the coup, Raila Odinga, throughout the interview for this work, neither admitted nor confirmed a role in the planning of the coup attempt. Thus, the public will have to wait for Raila’s autobiography for a final word on his role.

Yes, yet more complexity in Kenyan politics, this time with the very governmental 'neither confirm nor deny' language that makes politicians the world over so beloved of interviewers. One of the main coup plotters was, however, captured which would not keep those outside prison from continuing their plot. Their main beefs were that Oginga Odinga had been prevented from participating in by-elections, that there were no Luo's in positions of high command in the armed forces and were generally under-represented throughout the armed forces, that Luo's generally had too few schools and teachers and that junior Air Force officers lacked proper accommodations. As the plot involved junior Air Force officers, one does suspect that the last point actually carries more weight than the others. At the trial there would also be reasons of Presidential elections not being held properly and a rumor that Kikuyu were *also* staging a coup plot, this one to remove Moi and put VP Kibaki in his place. The coup plotters (Luo) did not think that the coup plotters (Kikuyu) would make things out to be better for them once the man who is the target of *both* groups (Moi) was removed.

If this were fiction, no one would believe it.

Still if you are already thinking in terms of worst case scenarios and plotting a coup, the only thing worse than your own coup must be someone else's. There could *never* be any commonality in views because they, like you, are acting in secret and planning a coup.

Against someone neither of you like.

As I said, if this were fiction, it wouldn't be believed nor sell many copies.

The Luo group... say was there ever a Kikuyu group?... would get quite some number of folks to sign on, including the elder Odinga and his son, Raila. Here is how it started to work out once the main coup plotter, Ochuka, got agreement from a group of NCO's in the Air Force:

Ochuka, the chairman, reportedly informed Oginga Odinga that they had no politician in their plan. He went further to make it clear that “the government that would follow would be purely military, and no civilians would be in the ruling council”. Interestingly, though Ochuka made it clear that he was the one to become President and not Oginga Odinga, the old man blessed the coup and provided some financial support. In effect, Oginga Odinga wanted change in Kenya, but not necessarily power by any means, as his critics claimed.

Two other civilians associated with the coup plotters, were Raila and Patrick Sumba, also known as “Paddy Onyango”. They had been frustrated by efforts which suppressed any alternative means of political expression in Kenya outside the tightly controlled KANU apparatus. The pervasive discontent in Kenya reached its high point with the constitutional amendment that made Kenya a one-party state. This development left many civilians who were very dissatisfied with the state of affairs with no other choice other than to go underground.

Shortly after the detention of Anyona, Raila briefed Sumba on the ferment in the military and the efforts of the Ochuka group to overthrow the government of President Moi. The two agreed that there was a basis for collaboration with the Ochuka group. They were happy that there was a viable option to the one-party state which Moi had imposed on Kenya. They agreed that given the nature of the “project”, information management was crucial and that they would operate with others on a need-to-know basis.They decided to avoid a large open planning group. Raila was to be the contact point with the military men in relaying views on important issues.

The coup winds up like this:

On August 1, 1982, the now retired General Joseph Musomba, commanded the Second Kenyan Brigade. He had started his service in the army in 1965 when he was sent to Moyale after being commissioned as Lieutenant. He found himself in the Shifta War. During the Ogaden War between Ethiopia and Somalia, in 1977, he was the Kenyan Director of Operations. Initially, the Kenyans believed that the build-up in Somalia would result in a second Shifta War, and Musomba was involved in planning a response if Somalia attacked Kenya.

Although there was a mutual agreement between Kenya and Ethiopia for a joint reaction if Somalia attacked either of them, Kenya did not support Ethiopia in the Ogaden War.

On the morning when President Moi appeared to have lost power, Musomba was woken up at 1:00am by the late George Kimeto, the Provincial Intelligence and Security Officer. Musomba’s command base was in Gilgil, but he slept in Nakuru. He was informed that the President had lost communication with Nairobi and wanted to know what was happening there. Musomba quickly found that the army communication network was still functioning. Having established that a coup d’etat by some air force officers was in progress, he spoke to Moi, received his instructions, and began to deploy his own forces to counter the coup attempt. He blocked the road to Nakuru at Gilgil, and sent troops to Nairobi and Nanyuki.

At 3:15am, Moi called Elijah Sumbeiywo, the commander of the Presidential Police Escort, and told him what had happened. Sumbeiywo immediately called his brother, Major Lazarus Sumbeiywo. Since Moi knew about the efforts of Musomba and those of General Mohamud Mohamed, the Deputy Army Commander, in Nairobi, he refused to leave his Kabarak home. The two brothers forced the President into Lazarus’ Peugeot 204 car to take him to safety, initially outside the country, but later in the bush. Subsequently, the President was returned to Nakuru State Lodge as reports filtered through, that the coup was being crushed.

By midday, the President insisted that he must return to Nairobi. Musomba received the order from his superiors to escort the President to Nairobi with 100 men and two armoured cars.

In Nairobi, Musomba took over from General Mohamed, at the Voice of Kenya where Mohamed had rallied troops (mainly cooks, suppliers, education instructors and other non-regular armed men) from the logistics base in Kahawa and succeeded in retaking the broadcasting house.

For three weeks, Musomba carried out a mop-up operation in Nairobi to find the other plotters. But Ochuka and Oteyo had grabbed an aircraft and flown to Tanzania. Musomba’s next order was to chair the court martial that tried the coupists.

His memory of those trials before he handed over to Joseph Kibwana (who about two decades later became the Chief of General Staff of the Kenyan army), was that the leaders of the attempted coup d’etat had connections with Raila and the Oginga Odinga family.

Yes, by not carrying through with the military assurances that Kenya gave to Ethiopia one ordinary soldier from that era, now a general, would get to go after a coup helped by the man who signed the original defense pact. And that was needed due to the spread out ethnic enclaves of Somalis, of various tribes, throughout the region and crossing multiple borders. This is exactly equivalent to the problems of the Kurds, Azeris, Baluchs, Pashtuns and other tribal societies that underwent colonial rule and then decolonialization of one sort or another. Similarly Kenya has problems on other borders, such as Uganda, but not to the degree seen along the Somali border.

Kenya has, for decades, been able to avoid the problems seen in those lands with diverse ethnicities feeling friction with the Nations they are in, even when the National government has not been all that representative of the various tribal entities within Kenya. The policy of one-party rule did not help as has proven time and again: no single party can properly represent all of the people in a multi-ethnic Nation with diverse religious and cultural backgrounds. Those Nations that do hold to such remain in power via authoritarian rule (China), totalitarian rule (Cuba) or outright dictatorship passed down through familial lines as if they were Monarchs (North Korea). Whenever that path is taken there is long-term tragedy as one ruling group attempts to enforce its rule over diversity. China's inability to properly handle natural disasters only surpass its ill thought out ideas towards a 'great leap forward' and the current building of industry on unstructured debt. In Cuba and North Korea political dissent is met with jail or execution or, as other regimes have done elsewhere, they are simply 'disappeared'. And playing what is now known as 'identity politics' has led to the usurpation of power under Fascist regimes (Weimar Germany, Italy), Communist regimes (Vietnam, the Koreas, and SE Asia during the post-Vietnam war era), authoritarian regimes playing on class and other distinctions (as seen in Argentina, Bolivia, Burma), and those seeking religions domination (Lebanon, Afghanistan under the Taliban and al Qaeda sponsorship of the KLA in Kosovo).

Seeing such as an American and backer of the concept of the Law of Nations and the Westphalian Treaty of 1648, this is highly disturbing as 'identity politics' is now trumping liberty and its support of freedom in many corners of the globe, not delimited by National boundaries. The right of Kenyans in their Nation to decide for themselves is paramount and sacrosanct: if Kenya is to come to good ends the people of Kenya must desire that and work towards it. The intercourse between Nations must limit the role played by individuals in one Nation with those of another, as to do otherwise is declare oneself free of the obligation to one's Nation and declare oneself lawless on the world stage, no better than terrorist or pirate and due the same respect of those, which is none. That is why I find the work of such as Dick Morris detestable even when asked *in* by Natives of another Nation, like Raila Odinga in Kenya. That is also why, when looking at those companies that support such lawlessness, no matter their size, and directly donate to terror organizations or give them any support, I see a disturbing erosion of the one, single platform that allows liberty and freedom within its bounds: the Nation State.

That is why, even when seen in Lebanon during its Civil War with groups declaring their own 'mini-states' often demarcated by no more than a square block, even in such things there was an understanding that the Law of Nations amongst peoples was paramount. In a short decade after that in the Balkans, that would be eroded to the point of peoples not even being able to define or stand up to create a Nation, as in Kosovo. Areas like the Balkans, the Tri-Border Area of South America, the region from Pakistan through Kashmir and Western China and then somewhat north and west of that is also seeing this liquidation of Law of Nation understanding. In Africa this has been seen in Somalia, Sudan and Eritrea, and that instability is shifting to Kenya in new form that has recently taken hundreds of lives in the name of tribal and ethnic privilege when the people are played as if pawns by National and international forces. In the attempt to utilize 'identity politics' to grasp power, that thing that contains it, being the Nation, can disintegrate and the result is no power save for that of warlords and local tyrants and strongmen. Those that have thought to invest the power of government to take over the function of society by deciding on matters of how society runs itself, have stepped into a realm in which stability is only a phantom that can be gained at more power concentrated to fewer people, who then shift attention from actual crime of property to crime of thought and support of a society free from government oversight. In that realm the instability of political differences leads to those ends seen in China, Cuba, North Korea and elsewhere whenever government rules society.

From my limited American perspective, I acknowledge that my actions can only be limited in view. Within that limit, however, given by common assent via the Constitution, I can put forward that Kenya, as a Nation, must be supported so long as Kenyans can find a way to hold it and have it as their own. This does not mean that Kenya need, of necessity, be a free Nation and many peoples have put up with tyrants and dictators for decades, until their despotic rule has become so odious as to invite revolution. America stands, however, for the strange belief that peoples, no matter how different, can come to good end at the lowest level of social and societal interaction through this thing known as 'local democracy'. If one cannot find individuals to put trust in to allow government its role to curb excesses and provide of a peaceful place for civil society to exist, then civil society cannot exist. That is why peoples put up with tyrants and despots for so long: as long as there is some basis for civil society, change is often seen as only for the worse.

Beyond that there is one tract written before the Declaration of Independence and before the Constitution that Americans had translated when they first had a Nation that was likely to remain stable, and carried it with them to many lands, including Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Europe. Its author spoke in plain, blunt and yet easily understandable language that was reasonable, no matter the society, as he talked about the role of government and society, and then made a case for freedom and liberty as outcomes:

Some writers have so confounded society with government,
as to leave little or no distinction between them
;
whereas they are not only different, but have different origins.
Society is produced by our wants, and government by our wickedness;
the former promotes our POSITIVELY by uniting our affections,
the latter NEGATIVELY by restraining our vices. The one
encourages intercourse, the other creates distinctions.
The first a patron, the last a punisher.

That is not the view of a man committed to a given system, but to understanding the differences between government and society, and that putting the latter in charge of the former is the best route as the other leads to tyrannical and despotic ends. He would write, at length, about liberty, democracy and establishing freedoms, but his views of unrest in his land were insightful and trenchant, both. In describing that, he has proven prescient in how many other lands would also fall into such states of disorder:

The present state of America is truly alarming to every man who is
capable of reflexion. Without law, without government, without any
other mode of power than what is founded on, and granted by courtesy.
Held together by an unexampled concurrence of sentiment, which,
is nevertheless subject to change, and which, every secret enemy is
endeavouring to dissolve. Our present condition, is, Legislation
without law; wisdom without a plan; a constitution without a name;
and, what is strangely astonishing, perfect Independance contending
for dependance.
The instance is without a precedent; the case never
existed before; and who can tell what may be the event? The property
of no man is secure in the present unbraced system of things
. The mind
of the multitude is left at random, and seeing no fixed object before
them, they pursue such as fancy or opinion starts. Nothing is criminal;
there is no such thing as treason; wherefore, every one thinks himself
at liberty to act as he pleases
. The Tories dared not have assembled
offensively, had they known that their lives, by that act, were forfeited
to the laws of the state. A line of distinction should be drawn, between,
English soldiers taken in battle, and inhabitants of America taken in arms.
The first are prisoners, but the latter traitors.
The one forfeits his liberty, the other his head.

As Kenya begins to head into lawlessness, we see these exact, same things happening: law without government as government itself falls into disrepute; courtesy as the rule and even that decaying as civil society unravels; such sentiment as has held Kenya together is dissolving under the lash of ethnic, religious and other divisions within society spurred on by factors within and outside Kenya; while legislators may legislate, their law is no longer seen as being upheld by all; wisdom of those seeking change has no plan save for change itself and nothing to establish the freedom of society from government in that change; the constitution becoming nameless by default, as those seeking not to follow it instigate extra-legal means to gain their views; and those seeking for independence to have freedom battling those seeking to depend on ways ill suited to all in the Nation. These are not predictors but sign posts warning of danger down this route and extreme danger at that - yet others have stepped from this path in places like Mexico, Nicaragua, Argentina, and Turkey.

The writer telling of these sign-posts, before the US Constitution and the Declaration of Independence is Tom Paine in a small book called Common Sense. It was then, as it still remains, quite common sense to realize what events are and what they foretell if left unaddressed. Only the people of Kenya can see if their society, as it stands, can be rescued with or without this or any government as it currently exists. As an inheritor of such a revolution I, as an individual, can voice my support for a Kenya and place my hopes in the Kenyan people to decide for themselves what is and is not right and proper for their Nation. I do support freedom, but that can only be found with liberty as a basis: no government can enforce freedom, but must be restrained from removing it and coercing civil society to unjust ends. And the price to secure liberty for oneself and one's society has had one traditional price: the blood of tyrants and patriots. To get such, those seeking tyrannical rule inside and outside government must understand that their ways are abhorrent, even when trying to reward some of the people over *all* of the people, without exception.

That is why 'identity politics' is destabilizing the US and causing bloodshed in Kenya and other places around the world where it has gained followers: the only way a few can lead is with the power of government to repress the many, and the power of many to rule the few without common assent is tyranny. If Kenya is worrying in that it is far down this road to dissolving, it is only because America is on that same path just not so far along. That is why I support reconciliation amongst the peoples of Kenya to find a better path than the bloody one of ethnic strife: new government that is supported by all of the people in *form* allow its *instances* to be understood as never final, never ending and never to remove that common assent from the people. Politicians left alone to draft the means of government rarely do a good job as they think of themselves as politicians first and citizens second.

And that is putting government before society... which leads to ill ends.

10 January 2008

The other source of change in Kenyan politics

This is a second piece on Kenyan politics, with the first here.

The third piece is here.

From Kenya Imagine, 14 NOV 2007, article by John Victor Ogot "Does Dick Morris matter?":

The UKIP is most often defined as the better-educated arm of the BNP, the fascistic British National Party. Profoundly racist and advocating an obdurate nationalism and the expulsion of foreigners, the UKIP advocates the closing of the UK's borders to immigrants and for the UK's withdrawal from the EU. Tame enough you might say, but linked here are some of the choicer statement's made by the party's officials while Dick Morris advised them in a zero-to-hero performance at the 2004 elections.

Raila's supporters in NAMLEF may want to ask what their chosen candidate is doing with a man who advised a party that won an election by having its most prominent candidate Robert Kilroy-Silk write in the Daily Express,

"They [Muslims] are backward and evil and if it is racist to say so... then racist I must be - and happy and proud, to be so". He has written on the pages of the same paper claiming "Muslims everywhere behave with equal savagery."
Nigel Farrage, the leader of the party's contingent to the European Parliament is quoted in the Mail on Sunday referring to black people as ‘niggers' ,adding
"We will never win the nigger vote. The nig-nogs will never vote for us."
It is impossible to say whether Morris is merely guilty by association or holds these views, it being clear that he will work for almost anyone. His work in Romania and the Ukraine was for parties that were pro-Europe and in the UK he worked for an anti-European party. What is startling about the trip to Kenya is the fact that it has been announced as pro-bono work even though Norris has left a previous engagement to take this one up. Is it reasonable to believe that he left paid employment in the USA to rush to Kenya to help in an electoral race? What is in this election for Dick Morris, or for whoever sent him?

There has been a disturbingly high level of involvement by the American government and allied concerns in this election. It is not clear what is going on yet, but the involvement of foreign powers in internal Kenyan politics does not bode well for our future. To illustrate, Ukraine's much famed revolution, which Morris was intimately involved with begun to unravel after less than a year. Its leaders were never revolutionary. They were instead a cabal of determined oligarchs who had picked the USA and Europe as their international backers against the Russian-backed government. The clouds indicate a similar forecast; Kibaki's policy of non-alignment seems to have rubbed some governments up the wrong way even as it has long been clear that exclusive ties with the West are harmful to Kenya. It is our sovereign right that we can look East or West when we feel that need without being tied in to a particular power, and no amount of chicanery will dissuade us from this path.

Joining the dots, it seems that Dick Morris really does matter. Now the people must demand of Raila Odinga and the ODM an explanation for his involvement in the campaign for the bride's hand. His presence in the party as an advisor shows either a desire to inaugurate a campaign of dirty tricks or that we are being taken over from the outside by unknown forces.
Does this sound a bit familiar to anyone? Promise everything to every group and then, when things get a least bit on the 'not enough votes' side, you then protest it?

This is the politics of group based 'identity': where which group you belong to by race, ethnicity, gender, religion, etc. is more important than who you are. This is a poisonous political brew spilled out from the American Left in which one group will be purported to be 'oppressed' and then given free rein to do just about anything they want as they are not responsible for their actions because of 'social repression'. This is a guiding credo of Transnational Progressivism - the group over the individual, and what you are born into is more important than what you are or what you can become. It is this idea that gives us 'power politics' of the sort where individuals are given 'empowering experiences' which are just the normal and everyday rights of the individual. In no time at all one group is worn out and some new group is found that can replace it for political needs.

Strangely enough when the concept of looking for Muslim votes comes up we actually *do* get someone to stand up for separation of church and state in Kenya and adhering to this thing known as The Peace of Westphalia! While not stated as such and amidst a longer tract on how human rights issues should be addressed by democratic means, Amir Ibrahim from this 10 OCT 2007 article at Kenya Imagine gives us "Let's do away with the Muslim vote":
There has been a trend in Kenyan politics and this most prevalent among the media and political classes to speak of the Muslim vote, a collective that needs to be courted and won over by the parties and their candidates.

As a secular Muslim, even an agnostic one living in these times, I cannot think of any stunt more dangerous for the well-being of the Kenyan Muslim than this. No other scheme could be less likely to deter efforts to foster a sense of joint community and common values. Whereas it is true that organized religion can be a useful means by which politicians can reach the voting public, it is most offensive to view Kenyan Muslims as a monolithic group that pays homage to the ideas of some fuzzy unelected council some dark place in Mombasa. With the international climate already so virulently poisoned against Islam and its adherents, it is necessary that all such talk is kept as far away from the public domain as possible.

[..]

And finally we must return to the votes and campaigning. First off, in the separation of religion from the state as contrived in our laws, there should be no scope for political bargaining on the basis of faith. Faith must remain in the domain of the personal, bringing that out simply violates the rights and freedoms of other Kenyans as it imposes on them burdens others have voluntarily chosen to take up. But even if this was the case, there is a need to be rational.

I have traveled in Western Kenya, and visited a mosque in places as diverse as Mumias and Kapsabet. The family of US Senator Obama are Muslims in Siaya. Najib Balala is a Muslim of one Coastal extraction and experience, Suleiman Shakombo is one from another experience. There is no any politician or cleric can claim to speak for Kenyan Muslims. The sugarcane farming Muslim in Matungu and the maize farming one in Aldai have exactly the same worries and concerns as their fellow constituents.

These are already poisoned times, and given the views of many Kenyans I have spoken to, they will get even more poisoned. There is no reason to aid in the construction of a fifth column out of Muslims. There is every need that all Kenyans come together in the defence of truth and justice, not just those issues that affect their society peculiarly. More than anything however, Kenyans must accept the rights of others to a public sphere disinfected of all religion. Keep your faith private.
Yes, not only the Muslim vote but *all* voting on the basis of religion so that faith may be kept by individuals without the State interfering. This is a *Western* ideal and should be supported by all those seeking to keep Westphalia and the rights of man upheld. Religion to guide but not decide alone. Also note in this that Senator Obama's family are seen as Muslims - from Muslim extraction and experience which is Kenyan and localized. That makes the presence of the MoU even more worrying as does support from Arab regimes. Do note that Muslims are about 10% of the population of Kenya, but appear to be groomed as the next 'underclass' needing 'empowering experiences' at the price of the public good.

From the troubles in the government of President Kibaki, we can see how ethnic strife has been stoked prior to the latest bloodlettings in Kenya. This from The Nation (Kenya) distributed by AllAfrica Global Media at TMC.net on 30 DEC 2007:
The death of his first vice-president in August 2003 and quarrels in his coalition put paid to a credible process to give Kenyans a new constitution.

It therefore came as no surprise in 2005 when the LDP wing of the Cabinet, led by Mr Odinga, rebelled and ran a high profile campaign together with the opposition Kanu and defeated the proposed constitution in November of the same year.

In the wake of the fall-out, the President cracked the whip and fired the rebellious ministers who included Mr Odinga, Mr Kalonzo Musyoka, Mr Najib Balala, Prof Anyang Nyong'o and Mrs Linah Jebii Kilimo. The "rebels" chose to stick together and transformed the Orange movement into a political party named the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM).

Meanwhile, security around the country continued to deteriorate. Organised gangs, including the outlawed Mungiki sect, wrecked havoc in Nairobi and parts of Central province, killing tens of civilians and police officers.

In the wake of criticism on the Government's inability to crack down on Mungiki, the police formed a special squad known as Kwekwe to deal with the deteriorating situation.

Providing security, which was one of the key pledges President Kibaki made to Kenyans as he campaigned in 2002, was tested with the clashes in Mt Elgon and Kuresoi.

Thousands of families remain displaced in these two areas while farming and schooling has been disrupted by the violence.
Here the faction of the Narc that would become ODM sees the death of a Vice-President to help put stop to a proposed constitution. While the constitution did not meet up to the particulars that allowed the Narc to form, the way in which this was protested was not through democratic means, but those of street violence and mayhem, starting in 2005. That that went with Raila Odinga to form the ODM are referred to by the name of their meeting place: Pentagon House in Lavington. Or simply - Pentagon members.

Now a sidelight into how scandal begets political power, this starting with Kamlesh Pattni as seen via The Standard Online 23 DEC 2007:
Kamlesh Pattni introduced himself to Kenyans in a notorious way. In the early 1990s, Pattni, then an obscure character, emerged as one of those behind what is to date the biggest financial scam to ever hit the country.

When in 2003, the Government formed the Judicial Commission of Inquiry into the Goldenberg Affair, it emerged that the company, Goldenberg International, which was later to rip the country of billions of shillings, was first registered on July 11, 1990 with a nominal capital of Sh100,000, divided into 1,000 shares of Sh100 each.

It was all hot air. Findings of the commission concluded that Pattni had become wealthy by defrauding the public through the Goldenberg scam.

Further, the Commission described him as a "perjurer, forger, fraudster and a thief".

Kamlesh Mansukhlal Pattni and James Kanyottu, with one share each, signed the Memorandum and Articles of Association. The two signed as the only directors and shareholders. The objects for which the company was incorporated as shown in the Memorandum and Articles of Association are wide ranging, and covered every conceivable economic activity.

It was to, among other things, engage in the import and export of any or all types of minerals, gold, silver, diamonds, precious and semiprecious stones between Kenya and all Preferential Trade Area countries, Europe, India and other parts of the world.

The company was also to prospect, explore, open and work claims or mines and raise dig and quarry for gold, silver, mineral ores diamonds, precious and semi-precious stones in Kenya and in other parts of East Africa.

After months of gruelling questioning and digging through data, the inquiry concluded that it got no evidence that the company ever engaged in any mining activity of gold and diamonds. Likewise, apart from the two subscriber shares, there was no evidence that any other shares were allotted or paid for. The records of the Companies Registry showed no return of allotments.

In the end, the Inquiry indicted Pattni as "the instigator of everything with which this commission has been concerned."

He was the promoter of Goldenberg International Ltd and its shareholder and director at all times. While his relatives and associates played some role in the company, he alone was fully responsible.

"It was, in fact, his alter ego and he treated it as such. By section 23 of the Penal Code, he was responsible criminally for everything done by that company," the inquiry established.

[..]

What was to follow was no small matter and caused unsurpassed inflation due to excess money supply. Revenue collection from the public coffers was used to pay the 35 per cent Export Compensation at the expense of other projects which the Government would ordinarily undertake with such monies. In 1990 alone, the 15 per cent ex gratia payments increased expenditures to over Sh100 million.

"The negative economic impact of the Goldenberg Affair to the country was so massive that its effects continue to be felt to date," read the inquiry’s report.

Firstly, because of the ad hoc and arbitrary manner in which the additional 15 per cent ex gratia payments had been imposed upon an already strained economy, it meant that this extra expenditure had not been included in the June 1990 Budget therefore causing what Prof Terry Ryan has described as "further unanticipated pressure on the fiscal structures", the inquiry found.

[..]

When party nominations ended mid last month, Pattni delivered another shocker. His Kenya National Democratic Alliance emerged with the second highest number of candidates after ODM. With 170 hopefuls on its ticket, Kenda is second on the list behind ODM’s 190. Even the President’s party, PNU, with 135, could not match Pattni.

In the race for civic seats, Pattni and Kenda also spread themselves well. Out of the 15,332 nominees, Mr Pattni’s party is fifth on the roll with 927 candidates, behind ODM which has 1,888, PNU’s 1,284, Kanu’s 1,103 and ODM-Kenya’s 968.

[..]

Among the converts to Kenda are former Immigration minister Linah Jebii Kilimo, who hosted Pattni several times in her Marakwet East constituency before making her move. Other than Kilimo, other names in the Kenda line-up are a number of former MPs. They are Mr Davis Nakitare (Saboti), Mr Samuel Moroto (Kapenguria), Mr Raphael Kitur (Konoin), Mr Joseph Kimkung (Mt Elgon), Mr Stephen Ndichu (Juja) and Mr Joseph Malebe (Igembe South). There is also former Kenyan ambassador to South Africa Tabitha Seii.

Even as Pattni pulls another move on Kenyans, the Goldenberg scam, his first test on Kenyans, has produced no convictions 13 years later.

To date, Pattni insists that Goldenberg was designed to bring badly needed foreign exchange to Kenya by using the country’s strategic position near mineral-rich but conflict-ridden countries like Congo and Sudan.

[..]

In March last year, Attorney-General, Mr Amos Wako, ordered that eight top Goldenberg suspects, including Pattni and former spy chief, Kanyotu, be charged. As part of the implementation of the recommendations of the Commission led by Justice Samuel Bosire, Wako directed that suspects indicted by the report face charges ranging from stealing, conspiracy to defraud to abuse of office.

As a result, several people, among them the Goldenberg scandals’ chief architect, Pattni, are now in court facing criminal charges. According to the Commissions’ findings, Pattni, had become wealthy by defrauding the public through the Goldenberg scam. The judicial commission found that Pattni’s alleged rip-off had caused the public a loss of Sh27 billion. Another Sh10 billion was stashed away in foreign accounts and was never recovered.

With its findings, Pattni was hauled before court alongside five others accused of conspiring to steal Sh5.8 billion from the Government.

[..]

When the Goldenberg Commission of Inquiry presented its report to President Kibaki in October 2005, Kenyans hoped the multi-billion shilling scandal had finally been settled.

Two years down the line, the scandal that caused the taxpayer billions of shillings remains unresolved. And Pattni is still trying Kenyans.

The case he filed will be heard in March 2008. By that time, Pattni could be a Honourable Member of Parliament.
The reason this is interesting is that Raila Odinga's father was part of the Goldenberg scandal. This seen from an Africa Wired article from 23 SEP 2001 by Matunda Nyanchama:
The largest corruption scandal in Kenya was the brainchild of Kamlesh Pattni, a young man in his early 30s. This scandal, whose end we have yet to see, has the most widespread tentacles, some reaching into the highest echelons of government. And it touches more people than many Kenyans have cared to understand, including others that were "saints" in Kenyans' eyes. Kenyans recall too well the late Oginga Odinga Jaramogi's admission to accepting two million shillings from Pattni. He would later claim he did not know of Pattni's involvement in Goldenberg!

Jaramogi's son Raila Odinga, now Minister for Energy, with Otieno Kajwang' as his lawyer, would later institute a private prosecution case against Vice-President George Saitoti for involvement in Goldenberg. It is only that politics knows no irony that both Odinga and Saitoti find themselves in the same cabinet. And Goldenberg still remains unresolved to citizens' satisfaction.

If the elections of 1992 have any lesson to offer it is that younger generation leaders are equally culpable in the problems we face as a country. At the time, there was open clamour for change with Kenyans looking forward to a new era, one free of the obfuscation, persecution and torture of the one-party state. We know what happened. Kenyans' wishes for change were frustrated by, among others, young people in the name of Youth for Kanu 1992. This movement of power-hungry interests, awash with money siphoned from national coffers, locked in Kanu victory, which ensured continuing exploitation of Kenyans by a small corrupt clique.
Now if Raila Odinga had prosecuted his *father* when joining government, that would have been noteworthy on the anti-corruption credentials list... in fact by *not* doing that he is then seen as continuing on the corruption of the previous generation. And in politics that appearance is just as bad as doing the actual work itself. And that continued on to 2006 as seen by African Press International in an article of 19 NOV 2006:
Raila Odinga, when he was the Minister for Roads in Mwai Kibaki’s government, pulled down many expensive houses in Kenya telling Kenyans that he was doing so, “in the name of roads expansion.”

Many of the houses pulled down belonged to the Kikuyus and non-Luo communities who, on loosing their properties, were denied compensation by the Roads ministry then headed by Raila.

Those who lost their properties had nowhere to go. When the president discovered the infliction Raila was causing to the Kikuyu and other communities, he sacked him from the position of the minister in-charge of roads.

When reports were released on the houses Raila ordered pulled down, there was none on the list downed in Nyanza Province, Raila’s home province.

Now, Raila has continued his campaign to take over power in Kenya and many question what will happen to the landlords should Raila become the President.

[..]

According to the present constitution, the president is above the law. He can order the pulling down of houses without compensation, without risking to be prosecuted.

Kenya should not forget that when Jomo Kenyatta was president, Raila’s father, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga was vice-president. A man who wanted so much to become president. His political ambition saw him leave KANU, the ruling party at the time, to form his own party, the KPU, and got the help from Russia in order to distabilise Kenyatta’s government.

When Oginga did not manage to take power from Kenyatta, he waited eyeing for the post from the side-lines. Daniel Arap Moi took over from Kenyatta and Oginga’s frustrations could no longer be hidden.

He became very desperate and decided to engineer the attempted coup in 1982, a coup against Moi which almost succeeded. Oginga was at the time in house arrest in Kisumu, but still managed to communicate with the coup plotters.

Raila is now trying to take over the Nyanza torch eyeing for presidency, hoping to dislodge Kibaki by all means possible.
By not addressing the previous scandal and then taking actions in a way that is not only politically partisan but ethnically partisan as those losing houses were Kikuyus, Raila Odinga is then seen as continuing on with his father's work in the exact, same manner as his father, save with a nicer political face.

Part of that ability was built on the lack of limits to political donors. Yes, those lovely laws in the US are *not* present in Kenya, so when when corrupt money comes to the door you can invite it in and as much of it as can be handled. The Money and Politics site has a copy of an article from The Nation (Nairobi) by David Mugonyi from 24 APR 2006 (pdf file here) looking at the consequences of this. This section looks at the procedure:
The expectation is that once in power, the party that forms the Government retains contracts entered into by the previous administration.

It works is as follows:

During the General Election and major by-elections like the forthcoming ones in Marsabit, Moyale and Nakuru districts, major interest groups identify candidates and political parties most likely to win.

Parties that show the most promise get the highest contribution.

Businesses, or their scouts then identify the party whose members are most likely to be the vocal in Parliament and contribute money to them.

Kenya has no law regulating political party contributions, a situation that has opened the system to abuse and corruption.

Before the reintroduction of multiparty politics in 1992, the law barred parliamentary candidates from using more than Sh40,000 in campaigns, at the time a respectable figure.
This law was removed when competitive politics entered the scene.

There have been protests that Kanu's and former President Daniel arap Moi's well-oiled election campaign in the last General Election was largely funded by money raised through the Goldenberg schemes and from the collapsed Postbank Credit, and channelled through the Youth for Kanu '92 group.

Goldenberg architect Kamlesh Pattni also gave money to Mzee Jaramogi Oginga Odinga for a by-election when he was Ford Kenya leader.

Kenya's attempts to regulate political donations came a cropper when a draft law proposed by former Justice and Constitutional Affairs minister Kiraitu Murungi failed to make it to the floor of the House.

It had proposed the creation of a scheme financed by taxpayers to fund political party operations.

Individuals would have been barred from giving more than Sh1 million in cash and services to any political party.
Ok, not up to Norman Hsu levels, but Kenya is a much smaller Nation than the US. What is interesting is the utilization of 'affiliate groups', like the Youth for Kanu organization, to help wash the source of funds out of the accountability procedure.

This, of course, leads to how the great reformer, Raila Odinga, can 'clean up the process' by centralizing the funds to the State:
Mr Odinga, who was among the leading campaigners of President Kibaki in 2002, said they were funded by Narc supporters to mount the successful campaign that led to Kanu's defeat.

"There were a number of business people whom we appealed to, besides ourselves who put in personal funds," he said.

But he feels that party funding should be done by the State, and if business people put in money, they should be made by law to disclose it for the purpose of taxation, as is done in Mexico and the US.

Mr Odinga said that during the 1997 elections when he ran for presidency on the National Development Party, 21 MPs allied to him contributed Sh5,000 each for six months. This amounted to at least Sh630,000. Other sources were friends, business people and professionals.
Apparently he does not understand that the US government only has a 'matching funds' for those that accept restrictions and the number of those candidates at the Presidential level dried up the last few years. And if Mexico is a haven for 'clean elections' and 'lack of corruption' I have yet to see any evidence of it, thus no matter how the funding is worked corrupt money just seems to find its way into politics.

And to let you know how *bad* democracy is on the pocketbook, lets see some of the rationale handed out by those running for office:
Mr Kombo, Mr Kamanda, Mr Odinga and Mr Kilonzo backed proposals that political parties be funded by the State, but a ceiling be put on how much funds could be raised from other sources.

Mr Muturi said Kanu also got funds from key businessmen, but he did not know how they recovered their money.

The Kanu Chief Whip said: "It's correct to say there have been businessmen or benefactors contributing to political party funding. However, how they benefited after that, I've no idea."
Mr Muturi said the symbiotic relationship of Mr Moi being the party chairman and Head of State made it difficult to know where money came from.

But all Kanu candidates, he added, would be invited to State House and given financial assistance. This happened in 1992, 1997 and 2002.

The Local Government minister said: "Absolutely... the only way democracy can be nurtured is to fund parties. Democracy is expensive, and if Kenyans want multiparty democracy, they should be prepared to pay for it."

Mr Kombo said companies should contribute funds in a pool, which should be shared among parties equitably.

All the MPs agreed that sources of such funds should not be kept secret, and that political parties account for how the money is spent.

In many developed countries, political parties are allowed to source funds from corporations and individuals. However, a ceiling is put on how much should be collected.

Mr Kilonzo said Kenya should introduce funding of political parties, but prohibit foreigners from contributing to the kitty.

Proceeds from terrorists and drug and prostitution rings could find its way into party activities if funding of parties was not from the State.
There are some 'good ideas' for a parliamentary system, but do notice that the UK keeps the cost of election campaigns down by limiting them to 60 days before the election. The US sees much higher costs as localized democracy is no longer a part of the make-up of the Nation at the federal level, thus creating huge districts and, likewise, large opportunities for graft, corruption, nepotism and the such. Putting the State in charge of finances has skewed politics in many Nations as the parties then see the lifeblood of their organizations no longer coming primarily from the People, but from the State. And once a party or consortium of parties takes office and it wants to restrict other parties, then changing the funding structure is very simple. Actually requiring limits on incoming funds and accountability works generally well without State funding, however, a point missed by those pushing for State funding.

Still that is just a general criticism, the larger one is the idea of concentrating authority under the State and putting someone who is familially 'owed' high office in charge of things. That someone being Raila Odinga who's party and family have profited by this arrangement since his father's days. It is this combination that plays together in Kenya, as seen by Africa News on 25 SEP 2007 when looking at the funding for campaigns in Kenya, and I will pull out the part on Raila Odinga:
RAILA

ODM is expected to draw funding from the Russian government, who has already provided two technical campaign assistants at Orange House.

The Nigerian government that has traditionally provided political and social support to the Raila Odinga family is also involved in the funding of the party campaigns.

In fact, in the 1997 presidential campaigns former Nigerian President Olesugun Obasanjo individually participated in the funding of Raila’s campaign.

Obasanjo, was also the chief mediator in the dowry negotiations of Raila’s son, Fidel recently.

The Libyan government according to an insider in the Raila team is also involved in talks with an aim of bankrolling the party.

Only two weeks ago the Libyan ambassador and three members of the pentagon met in a Nairobi hotel where the issue of funding was discussed to the detail.

Individuals within the German government where Raila went to school and the United States of America are also participating in the funding of the Raila campaign team.

US senators Henry Dawkins, John Edwards (who is vying for the Presidency on a Democratic Party ticket), Obama and Joe Biden all of whom have Kenyan connections – having been born in the pre-colonial period in Kenya are also said to favour Raila.

Two other legislators in Britain’s Labour and Conservative party whose names we could not immediately establish form the framework of funding for the Raila ODM team.

The Kenyan diaspora that has already saturated the internet with over 150 blogs in favour of Raila will be the other key team for the funding process –instructively that is the team in charge of advertisement and was the same one that funded the acquiring of the famous Hammer vehicle.
Locally he has the might of Cyrus Jirongo, who has offered to support a Raila campaign and that of Musalia Mudavadi to rely on.
Yes, Raila Odinga's son is named after Fidel Castro. Beyond that are the direct links to Russia, Libya, Nigeria and a plethora of individuals across the globe. While all parties in Kenya look towards this or financing by wealthy donors, one is left wondering if the main problem on campaign finance *is* this foreign funding. And once office is taken, is it any wonder that these Nation contributors expect some preference afterwards? These are not things that make for clean elections or allow for corruption to be rooted out of government. One of the problematical parts of foreign interest seeking control is the need to get control in the first place, and that can often go through indirect routes.

Part of that is seen in the dealings with two men claiming to be from Armenia, but who apparently were interested in other things, like narcotics smuggling. That case would expand to point at corrupt individuals in the Foreign Ministry, Criminal Investigation Department, Airport Authority all the way down to local police in Nairobi. As part of that would also be a special adviser to the Water Ministry and President Kibaki (close enough to be a rumored second wife), Mary Wambui via her daughter Winnie who was engaged to one of the two 'Armenians', Artur Margaryan. As this mess would unfold after the seizure of a drug shipment at the Nairobi airport, more and more individuals would get swept up into and that would include Raila Odinga. As reported by The Nation (Kenya) on 15 AUG 2006 by Bernard Namunane (copy cached at armeniandiaspora.com forum) we will see how Raila Odinga would be able to be 'worried' about 'assassins' entering the country:
MP Raila Odinga, political activist Mary Wambui and her daughter Winnie Wangui plus businessman Kamlesh Pattni are on a list of high profile witnesses who are to be interviewed afresh over the security scandal involving the Armenian Artur brothers.

Also listed for questioning are the entire top brass of the country's security system, including intelligence chief Michael Gichangi, Chief of General Staff Jeremiah Kianga and Police Commissioner Hussein Ali.

They are to be quizzed by a Parliamentary committee over the activities of the so-called brothers - condemned as major international criminals - and in particular the way they breached security at Jomo Kenyatta International Airport which led to them being deported.

And the committee is hoping to ensure all the witnesses give their evidence in public - unlike previous witnesses who were heard in private after Parliament's Business Committee blocked the committee's pleas for public hearings.

[..]

Mr Odinga and Mr Musyoka were the first to blow the whistle on the presence of the Artur brothers in the country when they claimed the two were mercenaries hired to carry out political assassinations.

But Mr Margaryan countered the claim with allegations that they had lent Sh108 million to Mr Odinga and had hosted Mr Musyoka in Dubai.
In my previous piece I looked at the African Press International article 'How rich is Raila' which places him in the Arap Moi government Energy Ministry by 2001 and being able to readily set up deals with the Al Bakri Group, which, itself, is cited as a supporter of al Qaeda. This dovetails through a local drug boss, Ibrahim Akasha, but for reasons that only become a bit less murky as time goes on. East Africa Press has a good round-up of the basic timeline in their NOV 2007 article The Truth About The Mercenaries We Loved:
The Arturs, whose true nationality is believed to be Russian, reliably first visited Kenya in 1999, months after a consignment of hashish was impounded in Mombasa.

Then, as in late 2005, they came to intercede with authorities and Kenyan links in the bungled operation that saw the drug cartel lose drugs worth millions of shillings. Their message to the local link, the late Ibrahim Akasha, whose connection with the hashish haul had become a matter of public knowledge, was to either compensate his Russian partners financially or face an all-out war.

On the run after being indicted in Kenya for drug trafficking, Ibrahim Akasha had sought refuge in Netherlands, regarded as Europe’s drug haven. There, he was trailed and assassinated in October 2000 by a suspected Russian hitman riding on a bicyle.
In the ensuing gangland war, some Russian members of the cartel and
Akasha’s son, Kamaldin, were also eliminated.

According to impeccable confidential sources, it was during that first visit that the Arturs reportedly made contact with key individuals now in the Narc administration. And, probably because of this, while they had only come to deliver what would pass as a threat in 1999, they stuck around up to 2000 during which they found good company in the family of Russian nationals doing underground businesses, including operating brothels, illicit liquor and drugs and peddling forged immigration documents in a building in Muthaiga.

But the situation became a little complicated in 2000. First, they realised that the mysterious murder in July 1999 of one of their Russian colleagues, Victor Gontcharenko, had been discovered and police were pursuing his killers. Secondly, Ibahim Akasha, their primary mission, had been forced to flee the country after the courts found him guilty of drug trafficking.

In an interview with a Kenyan daily newspaper in 2003, one of the Russian nationals had pointed at the fact that the Russian cartel not only had strong links with the Kanu administration but had also helped Narc take power in the 2002 General Election, information that explains what sustained the association between the Arturs and key Government officials.
Here we have the Arturs coming to Kenya and getting relatively high level access in 1999-2000 during the Moi government. Their main target is Ibrahim Akasha who hadn't paid up for a heroin shipment and the Red Mafia wanted to ensure that the message got across that one doesn't do that to them... The Red Mafia?

For those of you unfamiliar with the Red Mafia, I looked at them awhile ago to see how multiple smaller organizations can combine under a single umbrella group and yet retain high autonomy amongst their sub-groups. In this case the drug running, Dubai and such looks to be the work of 'The Red Don' Semion Mogilevich, although it could be a smaller competing outfit, but those smaller gangs don't have the wherewithal to follow someone around from continent to continent to kill a minor drug distributor who flees from Kenya to Europe. The 'Arturs' are Russian Mafia and have been involved, as the East African Press article recounts, with PKK, LTTE and working government contracts to make contacts and expand their operations. This is a tentative association, however, as other organized crime groups could be involved or be the drivers of this, but the sophistication exhibited by the individuals and the ability to work across multiple regions and terrorist organizations points to something a bit unusual for the older European Mafia groups. That and some of the later straightforwardness of the 'Arturs' points to the Red Mafia.

In the 'How Rich is Raila' article we also get a listing of some of his assets which include: Runda House Kshs 15 million. Now I am aware that there is most likely more than *one* 'Runda House'... in fact there are lots of them! Thus it is pure coincidence that the 'Armenians' stayed at a house in the same area, as seen from the East Africa Press article, above:
The Arturs returned to the hotel on 13 December and stayed until 19 December before they moved out to a house on Lenana Road in Nairobi’s Hurlingham area, before finally settling in the mansion in Runda.

The Runda house (Plot number 7785/977 on Glory Road) owned by Mr Sammy Mutinda Musyoki was leased to Brotherlink Ltd. Whose directors are listed as Artur Margarian, Artur Sargasian and Mohammed Zakir Oomer. It is also the same company to which the name of Winnie Wambui was linked.

The Arturs were always in the company of Winnie Wambui and a Ms Shifana, a light tanned woman who drove them around. It has since been established that Ms Shifana, who along with the Arturs had security passes to all airports, is the daughter of a Mombasa based businessman and a long time friend of slain druglord Ibrahim Akasha.

Indeed Artur Margarian claimed one of the cars they drove around had been purchased from the Akashas. Unconfirmed reports also show that that one of Artur’s business managers in Dubai is married to the late Akasha’s daughter.
There you have the daughter of a high ranking woman in the Kibaki government, Winnie Wambui daughter of Mary Wambui, and the daughter of the druglord killed in Europe, Ms. Shifana. In organized crime realms, that really is a great way to go for immunity and dealing inside a Nation: get romantically involved with the daughter of a high ranking advisor (perhaps get engaged!) and also get involved with the daughter of a late druglord that you may or may not have helped to get deceased.

Luckily the Artur brothers had been working their way up in Kenya and scoping it out over the years, getting communications contracts for the most part, and using those to establish themselves in the Kenya market. Plus they had good backing, as seen from a 29 MAR 2006 article at Kenyanmarketplace.com:
On Friday, Baktash was among the personalities interviewed by the police investigating the mercenary allegations.

Also questioned was Mr Margaryan and another of his local associates, prominent Nairobi businessman and real estate dealer Raju Sanghani.

Mr Margaryan's elder brother, Artur Sargasyan, is believed to be still in Dubai despite earlier indications that he would return to Kenya before the weekend.

The Sunday Nation has established that Baktash Akasha and Raju Sanghani were two of the initial contacts who introduced the Armenian brothers to key players in local political, business and security circles.

They were able to satisfy many people that they were genuine investors, and were even given firearms certificates by the police.

They were supposedly planning to put up a Sh210 million housing development on Mombasa Road near Nairobi, and a multi-million shillings casino.

Mr Sargasyan declared at the press conference a week ago that they were related to the Armenian Prime Minister and that he was also running for President.

But sources within the Armenia Government said the two did not have permanent residence in their country and thus did not qualify to run.

The office of the Armenian Prime Minister, Andranik Markaryan, denied that the duo is related to him. The Armenian Prime Minister's Press secretary, Mery Haroutyan, said the Prime Minister did not have any relatives by the names Artur Margaryan and Artur Sargasyan.

The Foreign Ministry also denied that the brothers are related to President Robert Kocharian who is running for another term.

[..]

While the business operations of the two men remained hazy, their lawyer in Dubai, Mr Abdullah Al Noor described his clients as "renowned businessmen who are genuine".

Mr Noor told Sunday Nation yesterday that mercenary allegations against Mr Margaryan and Mr Sargasyan were "utter nonsense", saying the two were well known businessmen in Dubai with investments in real estate, import and export of electronics and cars, among other businesses. "I have represented the two businessmen for the last seven years and all I know is that they are very genuine businessmen," he added.
The Baktash is Baktash Akasha, son of the slain druglord and Raju Sanghani would turn out to be a local operations boss for the drug running outfit that the Artur brothers represented. Tracking down their lawyer, however, has proven to be a bit of a problem, as the only one to come up in Zoominfo is Noor Lily Zuriati Bt Abdullah of the petroleum outfit Petronas Dagangan Berhad of Malaysia which is an arm of the Malaysian State owned company Petroliam Nasional. Luckily there is one good connection in all of this, a joint venture partner of Petronas of Malaysia: Bakri Trading Asia subsidiary of the Al Bakri & Sons Group mentioned previously. The folks connected to Raila Odinga. Now it is very possible that there is *another* Abdullah Noor, lawyer in Dubai, but there are Petronas offices in Dubai, so it is not out of the realm of possibility that this is the very same Abdullah Noor as mentioned backing the brothers Artur.

Of course the brothers were just interested in 'charity' work! From the Kenyamarket article a bit further on:
Raju Sanghani, who introduced the Armenians to senior ODM figure Mr Kalonzo Musyoka, yesterday admitted getting involved with them as an estate agent.

But Mr Sanghani said he was cutting links with the brothers until the controversy surrounding them was resolved. "I am writing to Brotherlink Limited today on this matter because it is really affecting my work."

Mr Sanghani provided a copy of the design of the proposed 5,000-unit low-cost housing project he says the brothers wanted to develop at Athi River.

Mr Sanghani said: "As an estate agent, I did for them the work they wanted for a commission."

He said although the Armenians wanted to buy some houses he had built in Karen, the negotiations were halted because of the price they offered."

Police formerly recorded Mr Margaryan's statement on Friday afternoon at the Nairobi Area Provincial Police office.

Mr Margaryan first met the Nairobi Provincial Police Officer King'ori Mwangi before being interrogated by the deputy Provincial Criminal Investigations Officer, Isaiah Osugo for over two hours.

From Dubai, their lawyer insisted the two men were involved in charity, claiming they were planning to build schools and churches to help the poor.

"They want to construct schools, boxing clubs, football pitches all free of charge," he added.

Asked whether Mr Sargasyan would be returning to Kenya, the lawyer said: "Yes he will be coming but I don't know when."

On Friday, Mr Sargasyan could not confirm or deny that he hosted some prominent Kenyans in Dubai last December. He referred Sunday Nation to his brother, who he said was currently speaking on behalf of the family in Kenya.

Asked to comment on the reports of the alleged Dubai meeting with powerful Kenyans, Mr Margaryan said: "It's not your business who I meet."
Yes, their lawyer tells us its all just about 'charity'. That note of charity, however, should also include the knowledge that not just Raila Odinga having ties to the underworld. Kalonzo Musyoka has similar ties via a man in his district that he help run for President back in the 1990's: John Harun Mwau. At Jaluo dot Kom comes an article by Sam R. O. Kotiende (blog here) about this relationship, dated 16 MAR 2007. Apparently there are more than enough skeletons to go around in this, and those have kept two governments (Moi and Kibaki) from doing much about the criminal enterprises of Mwau. Yes, there is 'charity' and then there is just 'looking the other way'.

The 'Arturs' would also do this exact, same, thing, as seen in The Standard, Kenya article of 02 DEC 2006 and would avail themselves of high level protection from the Criminal Investigation Department (CID equivalent of the US FBI), which would include police bodyguards. Additionally the brothers would visit State House and make contacts in the Foreign Ministry for meeting with an official from Uganda. It is not often the criminal element can arrange for police bodyguards and not be on the receiving end of jail time while doing so. It is in that article that the chauffeur of the Arturs' partner in crime, Raju Sanghani, would tell everything he had seen going on.

Of less fun and frivolity is that the Artur brothers apparently helped police raid The Standard newspaper when it was going to start publishing details between government officials and al Qaeda. Yes, you read that correctly - they were not *raided* by the police but helping to lead the police *raid* on a news organization. This seen with an article from The Standard, Kenya from 17 MAR 2006 "Michuki questioned as 'Armenian' plot thickens"
By Andrew Teyie (copy cache at armeniandiaspora). The raid was on The Standard of East Africa's offices in 2006 and it is noteworthy for an interesting event or two:
Internal Security Minister John Michuki yesterday appeared before the Parliamentary Departmental Committee on Administration of Justice and Legal Affairs to explain why the Government raided the Standard Group.

He is said to have claimed the Government raided the Group two weeks ago because the media group runs a propaganda unit.

Michuki further claimed that the Group intended to publish a series of stories linking key government officials to the Al-Qaeda terrorist group, sources close to the Committee said.

"It was a government action. The Standard Group has a propaganda unit which wanted to run stories that key government officials have Al-Qaeda links," a source close to the committee said of Michuki.
Following this so far? A police raid on a news organization because the organization was about to publish links between corrupt politicians and al Qaeda. The police would not only dismantle the printing press, terrorize and rob the folks at the offices, but also take the printed copies of the paper and burn them. The article also takes a look at the immediate cause of the raid:
According to sources, Michuki claimed that the Group had also lined up stories on the Akiwumi Tribal Clashes report. The stories, Michuki reportedly told the Committee, were to portray key government officials as organisers of the clashes.

The source said the Committee was told: "They (Standard Group) wanted to publish stories on the Akiwumi report claiming that the current government was involved in the clashes."

[..]

Michuki is said to have told the Committee that the raid was carried out by Kenyans and was sanctioned by the Government. It is unclear why they had to be hooded and why they had to carry out the raid in contravention of the law.

Michuki reportedly insisted that those who raided the Standard were not mercenaries. He is said to have assured the Committee that the Government is investigating the mercenaries claims and any links such people may have to a certain Narc activist.

Late yesterday evening, Michuki sent a statement to newsrooms confirming that the mercenaries claims were under "active" government investigations.
Do notice how it was *only* Kenyans involved? Strange that this should be worth mentioning in a police raid, isn't it? The reason why that is strange comes out in the East Africa Press article, above:
Knowledgeable confidential sources say that the main problems that had been identified, and which needed immediate solution, were the critical media, which included The Standard and KTN, and some of the leaders who were then campaigning against the draft constitution. ODM leaders Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka, who claimed that the Artur brothers were in the country specifically to assassinate them, seemed to have had more than an inkling.

But Police Spokesman Gideon Kibunja, interviewed by local journalists, dismissed any possibility that the Artur brothers could have been hitmen hired to knock off some key opposition leaders.

“I don’t think any serious person would hire such people as hitmen. They are so tactless and very visible,” he told one reporter.

But confidential police sources aver that the Arturs were on a mission. In the raid against The Standard Group, for example, it is said that the Artur brothers, who were initially supposed to accompany the assualt team only as telecommunications experts to help disable KTN, ended up leading the raid after senior Government officials failed to agree on a compromise.

While a former senior police officer wanted his personal assistant attached to the Criminal Investigations Department to lead the raid, a cabinet minister wanted a former Nairobi Provincial Criminal Investigations Officer to lead it. When they failed to agree, they settled on Artur Margarian as a compromise.
This is, apparently, a bit out of the usual even in Kenya: utilizing underworld figures to lead a police raid on a news organization so as to stop the publication of the connections of political figures to terrorists. And Raila Odinga gets to be the apparent chicken little warning about 'assassins' that, most likely, were in the country on his need to ensure that the connections between him, Al Bakri and al Qaeda were not made public easily from an organization that would be hard to discredit.

Beyond the drive for personal power, money, and such there appears to be one other thing that helped to drive Raila Odinga in this direction, and to find that we need just a bit of background on one of the main smuggling points of the Akasha smuggling group. Nation Audio has a report from The East African of the Nation Group that looks at this from 06 MAR 2000, just as all of this was starting up with missed payment for a heroin shipment and such, this time looking at a hashish shipment gone wrong:
Last month, police in Mombasa seized more than three tonnes of hashish with an estimated street value of Ksh940 million.

The government has since issued arrest warrants for a Mombasa tycoon, Mr Ibrahim Abdalla Akasha and one of his sons, Mr Baktash Akasha, both of whom are allegedly linked to the hashish haul.

The poorly-policed Kenyan coastline, dotted with thousands of small islands, is the perfect theatre for smugglers.

The Lamu archipelago near the Somali border is one of the most notorious entry points for drugs dumped by ships on the high seas. They picked up and taken ashore by dhows and later transported to Mombasa and Nairobi before finding their way onto the international market.
For once I'm not looking at the people involved! No this is something a bit on the different side that caught my eye as I was going through scads of articles.

Really, I was a bit dumbstruck when I found it:
Kenya's search for oil enters a crucial new phase when a Norwegian vessel arrives in Mombasa to begin eagerly awaited exploration activities off the coast of Lamu. It will mark the resumption of the search for oil after 10 years of little or no prospecting.

Local and international experts said that prospects of an oil find here were "very high". In fact, numerous representatives of leading international oil companies have been flocking Nairobi over the last four months to bid for exploration concessions. Officials from the National Oil Corporation of Kenya (NOCK) -- the government agency that licenses and markets exploration -- said production sharing agreements had been signed with two major companies for prospecting in the Lamu basin where interest has been highest.
That from Alexander's Gas & Oil Connections article of 13 JUL 2003. Now, for a bit of idle speculation, lets say that you are Raila Odinga and are in charge of the Energy Ministry and just found out from your new found friends, the Al Bakri Group, that there are potential oil and gas reserves in an area of your Nation. Not far fetched as these things go, considering previous work done in the area. You stand to make a good profit out of your investments in the National oil company. Just one problem sitting on top of it: an organized crime druglord who will want a slice of the action.

Can't have that, now, can we?

Mind you there will still *be* problems, but the powerful figure at the head of the family will be gone and the State will be able to flex muscle a bit more easily and not pay out so much to payoffs and such.

So there you have a bit more on Raila Odinga, good friend of Sen. Barack Obama... remember that when you hear a political campaign based on 'change', make sure it is for the better, not the worse.